| 10. Patrick Downey stays out of trouble and remains eligible the entire season |
Regardless of who starts and who doesn't (Iowa's backups could plausibly finish top 20 on their own) and how optimistic or pessimistic you are about the Hawkeye's future one thing is for certain. From a a strict winning perspective, they are better off with Downey than without. One would think that staying clean and out of trouble, fixated on winning an individual NCAA title would be a no brainer for Downey. Yet history has a voice too loud to not be heard regarding this issue, and it's tough to know where we'll be a half year down the road.
Many scenarios are possible. By season's end, Iowa could darkhorse their way to a top four team finish (Flo has Iowa 10th, Intermat has Iowa 9th, WIN has Iowa 10th). If they do it will be WITH Downey's assistance. Another possibility is that Downy makes like Andrew Long messes up early on and come March he's a distant memory. I'm hoping for the prior.
Downey is good for wrestling. Love him or hate him, he is a subject of interest. He gets butts into seats. Some come to watch him win. Some come to watch him lose. Either way, they come. He generates discussion and he brings an essence of excitement that amateur wrestling craves but often lacks.
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| 9. Markus Scheidel makes All American |
| 8. Anthony Ashnault becomes Rutger's first Four Time All American |
| 7. Jake Smith become an All American |
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| 6. Brooks Black makes the wrestling community remember the name Brooks Black |
| 5. The Redemption of Chance Marsteller |
I want to see him succeed. I want to see him continue on the straight and narrow and give troubled kids whether they're wrestlers or not someone to look up to. If he can change and he can make himself better, so can they. Some wrestlers think of themselves as only wrestlers. They feel no moral obligation or responsibility to be role models or figures for young people. I think Marsteller knows better and he is working hard to create the type of image that a young person can look up to and admire. I applaud that and I hope to see him succeed on the mat, as well as off.
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| 4. BJ Clagon and Ethan Ramos both AA in final season |
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| 3. Fresno State puts a wrestler on the Award Stand |
| 2. Jason Tsirtsis silences his doubters and critics |
When I listen to these critics and doubters rag on Tsirtsis I want to walk up to them and slap them. Yet that isn't how you deal with these types of people. The only way to deal with them, is to hope that Tsirtsis walks into this season and wrestles as good as his potential says he can. That he has another NCAA title finish or runner up or third place. No one will admit they're wrong. There will be no crow eating, but they'll shut up and they'll disappear. It's not quite the same as slapping them upside the head for being so bitter and pessimistic but its not a bad consolation prize.
And what if I'm wrong? What if they're right? Well ok, but I have no shame in putting faith in Tsirtsis and backing him up with my belief in him and what I think he can do. You can look at my predictions I made a while back and I'm not afraid to say I have him winning 157 lbs. He wrestles 149 lbs, do I think he CAN beat Retherford? Yes, I think he can. A 100% Tsirtsis, and I mean that mentally and emotionally as much as I mean it physically can beat Retherford. Will he? I don't know.
I'm not a rich man. I can't put any money down and besides that's not only unethical, it also violates NCAA rules. However, I will say this. I predict Tsirtsis to finish top 3 regardless of which weight he ends up at.
| 1. Michigan wins the Team NCAA Title |
Let's look at it logically.
Micic can and will contend for a title at 133 lbs. Kaid Brock and Seth Gross create his biggest challenge. I don't see him finishing any lower than third.
Be it Profaci or Fisher, I say we're looking at another All American at 141 lbs either way.
Pantaleo who I thought would be 157 this year, I think may be going 149. Either way, doesn't matter, AA.
Which then leaves me at Hall, who I also think can sneak in a low AA.
Defeating both Isaiah Martinez and Vincenzo Joseph for an NCAA title will be tough, but I do think that Massa will contend. Finishes no lower than third.
Amine I think can contend for a title at 174 lbs and I don't see him any worse than 4th.
Abounader can contend for the NCAA title and I think he will. (Did I really just say that? Yes, I did)
Beazley is an AA.
Coon is the most likely candidate to meet Snyder in the finals and as far as I'm concerned the only real threat Snyder has this season.
I hate using this terminology and I value all members of a team, but the only wrestler I don't see scoring serious points for the Wolverines is Assad at 125 lbs. Yet I do think he'll qualify and I do think he'll win a match or two at the NCAA tournament. In tight team races, those points add up.
I want to remain realistic while also calculating best case scenario.
125 - Assad (2-2)
133 - Micic (Champion)
141 - Fisher or Profaci (5th)
149 - Hall (8th)
157 - Pantaleo (2nd)
165: Massa (Champion)
174: Amine (Champion)
184: Abounader (Champion)
197: Beazley (2nd)
HWT: Coon (2nd)
That's the best I can see Michigan doing and if they do that well, they win the team title.
Taking off my maize and blue colored glasses I'm a bit more realistic in my "more fair" predictions if you want to call them that.
125: (2-2)
133: 3rd
141: 5th
149: (2-2)
157: 7th
165: 2nd
174: 4th
184: Champion
197: 4th
HWT: 2nd
Even with this prediction, that could still be enough to win the NCAA title. Eight All Americans, with one NCAA champion, two runner-ups and one third.
What favors Michigan most is an ability to put as many as 9 wrestlers on the award stand in All American status. What hurts them is whether they can get bonus points in route to these AA finishes or not.
And with that, there you have it. My top 2017-2018 NCAA Top 10 Wish List.
174: Amine (Champion)
184: Abounader (Champion)
197: Beazley (2nd)
HWT: Coon (2nd)
That's the best I can see Michigan doing and if they do that well, they win the team title.
Taking off my maize and blue colored glasses I'm a bit more realistic in my "more fair" predictions if you want to call them that.
125: (2-2)
133: 3rd
141: 5th
149: (2-2)
157: 7th
165: 2nd
174: 4th
184: Champion
197: 4th
HWT: 2nd
Even with this prediction, that could still be enough to win the NCAA title. Eight All Americans, with one NCAA champion, two runner-ups and one third.
What favors Michigan most is an ability to put as many as 9 wrestlers on the award stand in All American status. What hurts them is whether they can get bonus points in route to these AA finishes or not.
And with that, there you have it. My top 2017-2018 NCAA Top 10 Wish List.














