Thursday, September 16, 2021

2022: The Preseason: Missouri Tigers

 Johnny Cash walked the line and at the moment, so do the Missouri Tigers.  A good, solid team this season, Missouri should have no problem in qualifying all 10 wrestlers to the NCAA championships. The key issue for the Tigers in 2021-2022 will be getting to the next level.  They have quite a few members of their team that in my estimation are top 12-16 wrestlers.  In team standings, these wrestlers need to get to the next level of being top 8.  

125
Noah Surtin OR Connor Brown OR Dack Punke
Freshman OR Junior OR Junior 
Record: 29-13 OR Record: 50-22 OR Record: 41-31
NCAA: 21'NQ OR 18'NQ OR  19'NQ
MAC: 21'2nd OR (BIG 12 18'5th) OR 19'4th 
MIDLANDS: OR 19'4th OR

The Tigers aren't hurting at 125 lbs.  With three NCAA qualifiers contending for the varsity spot, I personally feel that the best bet here is Connor Brown. In my estimation Brown is a top 12 wrestler, sitting the fence into the top 8.  His most notable victory, Michael McGee, All American of Arizona State, he's also beaten other wrestlers in similar position such as Justin Cardani of Illinois and Nolan Hellickson of Ohio State.   

Noah Surtin and Dack Punke measure up rather evenly.  I'd give a slight nod to Surtin in terms of consistency, but head to head Punke came out on top in a 3-1 sudden victory.  Both are top 16 wrestlers, that I could see top 12, but probably not top 8.  Punke's most impressive victory in my opinion is a 9-5 victory over BIG 10 runner up Devin Schroder of Purdue. 

133
Matt Schmitt OR Trey Crawford
Junior OR Freshman 
Record: 59-26 OR 4-4 
NCAA: 18'NQ, 19'NQ, 21'R12 OR 
BIG 12: 18'4th, 19'4th OR 
MAC: 21'1st OR 

West Virginia transfer Matt Schmitt takes the spot here & I do believe he has the potential to be an All American for the Tigers this winter.  I don't see Crawford pushing him for a spot, but to illustrate the depth in the room, Crawford owns a 10-3 victory of Job Greenwood of Wyoming and he pinned Oklahoma State's Reece Witcraft in the first period. 

141
Allan Hart OR Josh Edmond
Junior Or Freshman
Record: 65-22 OR Record: 10-0 
NCAA: 20'NQ, 21'NQ OR 
MAC: 20'2nd, 21'3rd OR 

I think two time NCAA qualifier Allan Hart is again a top 12 wrestler for Missouri that sits the fence into possibly becoming a top 8.  With that said, one of his greatest challenges this season will be in his own room.  Josh Edmond is for real. Going 10-0 last season he defeated NCAA qualifiers Dylan Droegemueller of North Dakota State 14-5 and Chase Zollman of Wyoming 10-5.  I think the spot for the 141 varsity position is going to be a fight.  I'm anxious to see who gets their hand raised in this wrestle-off. 

149
Brock Mauller 
Junior 
Record: 83-8
NCAA: 19'NQ, 20'NQ, 21'5th
MAC: 19'1st, 20'1st, 21'1st 

I can't see Mauller upending Yanni Diakomilahis of Cornell or Sammy Sasso of Ohio State, but as far as I'm concerned, he's as good as 3rd.  He took NCAA champion Austin O'Connor of North Carolina into the tiebreakers last season and his only other loss was a 7-4 decision to Yahya Thomas of Northwestern, which could be turned into a win. With Missouri moving back into the BIG 12 this season, I don't see the Tigers contending for a Conference Title, but with should be performances out of the likes of Mauller, runner-up honors are well within grasp. 

157 
Jarrett Jacques
Junior
Record: 67-19
NCAA: 19'NQ, 20'NQ, 21'R12
MAC; 19'1st, 20'2nd, 21'1st 
CKLV: 19'R12 

One match shy of All American honors last season, I do believe Jacques gets over the hump this season and claims his first NCAA medal.  In my estimation, I'm thinking somewhere in the 6th to 8th place range.  Having a 14-1 loss to David Carr of Iowa State, I don't see Jacques contending for a BIG 12 title, but he should be the forerunner for runner-up. 

165
Keegan O'Toole
Freshman
Record: 19-1 
NCAA: 21'3rd
MAC: 21'1st 

Missouri's best bet for an individual national title this season.  With the extra year of eligibility as long as he stays healthy I think O'Toole could surpass both Ben Askren and J'Den Cox as the best Tiger wrestler of all time. In 19 victories last season, 13 of them were bonus point victories. I realize that Anthony Valencia of Arizona State was injured at the time they wrestled, but still beating someone of that caliber by a 16-1 technical fall should be noted.  Then he owns a 17-4 major decision of Zach Hartman of Bucknell who is no slouch.  O'Toole isn't going to dominate the field this year. He'll have his close matches with the likes of Travis Wittlake of Oklahoma State who he owns a 4-3 victory over.  Yet both the BIG 12 and NCAA title are winnable.  

174
Peyton Mocco OR Sean Harman
Sophomore OR Freshman
Record: 49-16 OR Record: 28-4
NCAA: 20'NQ, 21'NQ OR 
MAC: 20'3rd, 21'2nd OR 

No question that two time NCAA qualifier Peyton Mocco takes the spot here.  Probably tired of reading me say this by now, but again a top 12 wrestler that rides the fence of being top 8.  He lost a nail biter to Andrew McNally of Kent State (Now of Wisconsin) in the MAC finals last season and I think this season he helps Missouri in the BIG 12 race, as he should contend for a conference title.  

Sean Harman will be a good backup in the room, with a 28-4 record, Harman owns a 6-4 sudden victory over D.J. Washington of Indiana. 

184
Jeremiah Kent OR Colton Hawks 
Sophomore OR Freshman
NCAA: 21'NQ OR 
MAC: 21'2nd 

I think this is going to be a great wrestle-off.  Like at 125 lbs, I'm anxious to see who wins this matchup and I wouldn't be surprised to find out that the two are so even that they split time, with the question of who will start at the BIG 12's not answered until we look at the finalized brackets.   With that said, I think both are top 16 wrestlers, and as of now I'm going to leave it at that.  Kent's most impressive wins? Pinning Rocky Jordan of Ohio State & defeating Wyoming's Tate Samuelson 6-1.  Hawks? A 4-2 victory over Tate Samuelson of Wyoming. 

197
Rocky Elam OR Wyatt Koelling OR Canton Marriott
Freshman Or Senior OR Senior 
Record: 23-3 OR Record: 80-40 Or Record: 62-26
NCAA: 21'5th OR NCAA: 20'NQ OR NCAA: 18'NQ
MAC: 21'1st OR 19'3rd, 20'WC OR 18'3rd 


This weight class breaks my heart a little bit, it truly does.  I have no doubt in my mind that Rocky Elam could be an NCAA runner-up for the Tigers this season.  A dominating 9-1 win over Kordell Norfleet of Arizona State and then avenging a 4-1 loss to Jake Woodley of Oklahoma by dominating him 9-3 give merit to that belief.  However it's hard to except the fact that two NCAA qualifiers of the caliber of Koelling and Marriott won't see much if any varsity action.  Especially Koelling.  Honestly, I wouldn't mind seeing Koelling transfer for the simple fact that he is All American material.  6-4 victory of Marcus Coleman of Iowa State, 3-1 victory over Norfleet and most notable a 10-2 major decision over All American Stephen Buchanan of Wyoming.  As said, Elam takes the spot here and will be a huge point getter for the Tigers in duals, the BIG 12 and the NCAA, but it is a shame that such talent as Koelling will ride the bench this season. 

HWT 
Zach Elam 
Sophomore 
Record: 53-19 
NCAA: 19'R12, 21'NQ 
MAC: 19'3rd, 21'3rd 

I swear this is the last you'll have to read this in this article, but it is the TRUTH. Top 12 wrestler, borderline into the top 8.  So many of Elam's losses are the type that just make you clench your fist and shake your head. Those 1 to 2 pointers where it's like, 'he's gonna get him, he's gonna get the takedown, he's got it...no he didn't."  A 3-2 loss to Ethan Laird of Rider, a 1-0 loss to Trent Hillger of Wisconsin. I don't think I'm a candidate for lunacy in thinking that these losses can be turned into wins.  

=== 

Best case scenario for Missouri? 

125 - R12, Maybe low AA
133 - R12, better chance at low AA than 125 I would think 
141 - R12, Maybe Low AA
149 - 3rd or 4th place 
157 - Low AA 6th-7th-8th 
165 - Champion 
174 - R12, Maybe Low AA 
184 - NQ 
197 - Runner up 
HWT - R12, Maybe Low AA 

Start playing Johnny Cash, cause that's how I see it as of now.  Gonna be a good year for Missouri in terms of Dual victories, in season tournaments, and the BIG 12's.  Could turn out to be a great year.  Going to qualify all 10 weights to the NCAA's, that I'm positive of.   See 4 All Americans for sure, with two in the NCAA finals, one that could win the NCAA title.  4 could be as high as 9, but 5 of them need to prove themselves top 8 before I go making that prediction.  





















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