Thursday, December 27, 2018

Southern Scuffle - My Thoughts






The two best in-season tournaments are back to back with the Midlands immediately followed by the Southern Scuffle. Having already given my predictions and thoughts concerning the Midlands, here are my predictions and thoughts concerning the Scuffle.

125 lbs



Most likely our 125 lbs Southern Scuffle championship match will be between Oklahoma State's #4 Nick Piccininni and North Carolina State's #6 Sean Fausz.  Piccininni is undefeated, coming off a recent championship run at the Reno Tournament of Champions. Fausz, an ACC champion defeated Piccininni in their only meeting last season 9-5.  This should prove to be a fast paced and exciting match.




As to our other six place-winners I feel fairly confident about four of them.  Four of them that I am pretty sure will be participating in the tournament anyway.  Led by #19 Shakur Laney of Ohio, who will not only be challenged for a higher spot on the award stand, but also for a spot in the rankings.

Gabriel Townsell of Stanford has shown in previous years that he can be a contender but its been a while since he's done anything of significance. Last season he was one match shy of placing at the Scuffle and he could use a good showing here.  He has the talent to place as high as third.

For the home crowd  one of their biggest questions should be answered in who will be Chattanooga's 125 lbs starter at the Southern Conference in March.  It is possible that both  Fabian Gutierrez and Alonzo Allen could finish in the exact same spot. After all, that's exactly what happened last year when both finished in the round of twelve. However, the likelihood is more along the lines that one will have a better showing than the other.  Whoever places higher here, bar injury or something of that nature will be who they put on the mat come NCAA qualification time.  Mark my word.  That's how significant this tournament is.



Again, a lot depends on who all will be here and who all won't, but Iowa State's Alex Mackall has caught my eye. Currently 9-2, what catches my attention the most is oddly enough his 13-4 major decision loss to Iowa's #1 Spencer Lee. The fact that he kept it within 9 points and managed not to get tech'd or pinned makes me wonder how good this former Scarlet Knight, now Cyclone really is.  Maybe I'm making too much of it, but I'm excited to see him against the rest of the field.




It takes talking to me about college wrestling for about two minutes to figure out that in regards to NCAA Division I wrestling I don't put much stock into what someone did in high school.  I have to see you in your first collegiate competition against a top 33 wrestler before I am sold on just how good you are or you aren't.  Yet when it comes to Penn State recruits, Cael Sanderson usually hits 10 for 10.  As of right now, 12-23-2018, Gavin Teasdale isn't on the Penn State roster.  Yet Sanderson enjoys teasing, or perhaps I should say teasdaling us that he "could" be back by the Scuffle.  Key word being "could."  I'd like to think that this could give us a decent glimpse into how close hype comes to reality, but there are too many other variables that come into play here.  Personal issues, time off the mat and both his mental and physical condition.  Lots of questions, none of which, some of which or all of which could be answered here.

It's been over a year since we saw Lehigh's Connor Schram take fifth place at last year's CKLV.  Since that time he as well as thoughts about him have quietly slipped into oblivion. Will we ever see him compete again?  Will it be at the Southern Scuffle? If so, how will he wrestle?  Yet another question that the Scuffle may answer.

133 lbs

 



I keep on hoping someone will come along to challenge #5 Daton Fix of Oklahoma State as he tears through his rookie season at Oklahoma State and I may end up getting my wish granted in #4 Tariq Wilson of North Carolina State.  In order for Fix to be upended it'll take someone extraordinarily aggressive, relentlessly trying to score points with a gas tank that seems to always be on full.  Wilson checks out in every category. He should prove to be Fix's greatest challenge to date.



When it comes to who we'll see on the award stand in Chattanooga, Tennessee come the first of the year, I'd say #10 Austin Gomez of Iowa State will be one of them. He more than showed us what he's capable of when he tossed #11 Austin DeSanto of Iowa half way across his own home mat in a 14-9 decision.  It'll be interesting to see how well he does here.

Korbin Myers of Virginia Tech has wrestled well enough so far this season to garner himself a #15 ranking.  With both the Midlands and the Scuffle taking place back to back, he'll need to continue to wrestle well to maintain or improve upon that rating.  He's been known to have some strange losses in the past. Now isn't a good time to have them.

As for #16 Roman Bravo-Young of Penn State, we all saw what he could do when he picked on someone smaller than himself in a 14-1 ole fashioned rear end kicking of Ryan Millhof of Arizona State who is currently ranked #7 at 125 lbs. Now it's time to see how he does picking on ranked guys his own size. More rear end kicking ahead of us or will that eight pounds of muscle make all the difference?






I really, really wanted to put #20 Sean Nickell of Bakersfield on the likely place-winners list but I just can't.  He's too inconsistent for me to have that much faith in him.  He did place seventh last season but he also failed to place recently at CKLV. He's a hard guy to predict. On an ability and talent level, seeing him on the award stand is a very easy sight to picture. Yet history as my guide, I can just as easily see him going 0-2.

Mason Pengilly of Stanford recently returned to action. In fashion may I add against Northwestern's Yayah Thomas who I have slated as a possible Midland's medalist. I can easily see Pengilly wrestling well here and back in the rankings shortly after the first of the year.

Matt Kazimir of Columbia is another I see possibly placing.  He's thus far having himself a pretty decent start to his career as a lion with a 10-2 record that includes an impressive 6-5 victory over Cal Poly's Yoshi Funakoshi.

Lastly, in my opinion Rider's Anthony Cefolo is one of the top wrestlers yet to qualify for the NCAA's.  In two attempts he's came up short. It'll take some impressive performances for him to earn himself a bid in March. Wrestling well at the Scuffle would certainly help.



I'm sure there are people out there that have an answer as to the status of Lehigh's Scotty Parker but I ain't one of them.  I'll say this though, if Parker is wrestling at the Scuffle and he's 100%, then you can add him in with Fix and Wilson as a threat to the title.  But I don't think we're going to see him and even if we do, I highly doubt he'll be 100%.

Coach Barber informed me that Jimenez is currently fighting for the 133 lbs spot. Even if he isn't the varsity starter for the Falcons, the Scuffle allows (albeit unattached) multiple wrestlers from the same team to compete.  Seeing how Jimenez placed 8th here last year, it only makes sense to enter him in the tournament.


141 lbs


I think the likely championship match we'll see here will be between #4 Nick Lee of Penn State, who finished 2nd here last year and Oklahoma State's #9 Kaid Brock.  Brock has been on the receiving end of quite a bit of criticism this season. Many fans skeptical of his potential at 141 lbs.  With recent losses to #5 Mitch Mckee of Minnesota and #8 Dom Demas of Oklahoma it isn't completely unwarranted. No doubt about it, a Scuffle championship isn't going to get any know it all wrestling fan happy to run his mouth in a negative way about Brock to admit he was wrong, but it will likely silence him.



Let me make out like a politician and  talk out of both sides of my mouth for a second.  While I go to bat in defense of Brock, I'll be the first to say that neither he nor Lee strike me as invincible. I can see either one of them getting beat and I can see either one of them getting beat early on.  I think the Scuffle provides great opportunity for a number of wrestlers at 141 lbs to make a name for themselves and win the championship.

#15 Jamal Morris of North Carolina State is having his best year yet. He'll not only be looking for his third NCAA qualification, but also his first All American honor come season's end. A win over Old Dominion's #13 Sa'Derian Perry gives reason to think that a win over Lee or win over Brock isn't at all out of the question.

#18 Nic Gil of Navy is a guy I can see doing well here. Didn't quite have the finish he wanted at CKLV, finishing one match shy of placing, but he placed fifth here last year and should have another favorable showing.  When sets clears rankings and past results, he's about as good as anyone. Maybe not anyone in the NCAA, but certainly anyone in the Scuffle. Do I think he's good enough to win it? Yeah, I do.

Much like his former teammate Ronnie Pery was last year, Lock Haven's Kyle Shoop is one of the most overlooked wrestlers in the nation.  Not only did he place fourth here last year, he has nearly twenty wins already this season. One of which is over Pittsburgh's L.J. Bentley and another is a 9-0 major Wyoming's Sam Turner who placed eighth at CKLV.  It could be a fatal mistake for anyone who doesn't do their homework on Shoop and thinks they can get away with choosing down against him.




Looking over the field, it's pretty easy to narrow it down  to who I think will be the top six place-winners at the Scuffle. Trying to determine places seven and eight, is a little more difficult.  I got some guys in mind though.

D.J. Fehlman of Lock Haven could most certainly make some noise. As much as I hyped up Shoop's potential to do well here, it might be Fehlman who starts for the eagles after all. As of right now, they're 1-1 with one another.  Shoop tech'd Fehlman 18-2 at the Clarion open, but Fehlman recently beat Shoop 4-2 at the Black Knight Invitational.  Much like it is between Gutierrez and Allen of Chattanooga, Scuffle results could determine who gets the nod come conference.

I normally wouldn't put this much trust in Chris Debien but I can see him placing at this year's Scuffle for one reason. It is his home tournament. There's something special about wrestling in front of a hometown crowd.  Something special about having everyone cheering you on and wanting to see you do well. For that reason alone, I can see Debien stepping it up a notch and securing himself a spot on the award stand.





We have yet to see ACC champ Brent Moore of Virginia Tech or NCAA qualifier Cam Kelly of Ohio in action this season. If either show up at the Scuffle, both pose a serious threat to medal.


149 lbs




Oklahoma State's #13 Kaden Gfeller won a title here last season down at 141 lbs and thus far, winning a Reno title and being undefeated looks like he could do the same at 149 lbs.  North Carolina's Justin Oliver looks to be the top seed with his #4 ranking.  An All American as a freshman, who has finished one match shy the previous two seasons, a Scuffle title is essential to holding that high ranking.  #7 Mitch Finesilver of Duke with wins over #18 Jared Prince of Navy, #16 Anthony Artalona of Pennsylvania, #15 Josh Heil of Campbell and #10 Max Thomsen of Northern Iowa thus far this year also poses a threat.  Last but not least is Penn State's #11 Brady Berge, who with a win over #12 Josh Maruca, usually waits until a tournament like the Scuffle to remind everyone just how hopeless the rest of the field is against the Nittany Lions.




On the surface it may not make much since why I would have the #13 and #11 ranked wrestlers listed as title contenders and the #8 Jarrett Degen of Iowa State as a darkhorse but there are a couple of reasons for it.  A, Gfeller was a champion here last year. B, I don't think anyone is taking Degen that seriously.  Other than Cyclone homers, I don't see too many picking Degen to win this weight class or even putting him on the radar as a threat. With that said, so many of his losses last year were tight, close decisions. Fixing a little mistake here and a little mistake there, can turn those close losses into wins. He's a student of the sport, already proving that he does this. His only loss this season, a 12-6 decision to Missouri's Brock Mauller, he's already avenged in a 7-4 victory.  The more this guy fine tunes his skills, the more of threat he becomes.

As well as Kaden Gfeller is wrestling this year it is difficult to believe that there still isn't a guarantee that he'll be the Cowboys' starter by season's end. All American Boo Lewallen wants that spot every bit as much as he does. While injuries have slowed him down and will probably effect his Scuffle appearance there is still a chance that he could come into this tournament, win the whole damn thing and secure his spot back on the team.


After defeating NCAA Division I All Americans while in high school, I'll admit #18 Jared Prince of Navy is not having the stellar career that I thought he would. Nevertheless he placed 3rd here last year and took 8th recently in a rather loaded bracket. His possibly winning this year's tournament most certainly defines the term "darkhorse" but it is a possibility.




The inconsistency and unpredictability make it near impossible to have too many thoughts or feelings when it comes to Bakersfield's Russell Rohlfing.  He failed to place at recently at CKLV, but he also owns a 10-9 decision over #9 Pat Lugo of Iowa. Not to mention, he placed 8th here last year. With Rohlfing it's always a gamble worth making, but one that doesn't always pay out.

Stanford's Require Van De Merwe. Say that ten times fast.  It's been a while since the wrestling community has had a native South African.  Shaun Williams of Oregon not quite twenty years ago and in more recent times Heinrich Barnes of Oregon State I believe was from South Africa as well.  Thus far this season Van De Merwe has wins over Northwestern's Shayne Oster and Fresno State's Khristian Olivas. 

Trevor Elfvin of Drexel is having a bit of a rough go of it so far this season, but it is worth noting that he placed sixth here last year.

Air Force's Alec Opsal opened up some eyes at CKLV a month ago, with a 10-6 victory over Minnesota All American Tommy Thorn. Finishing one match shy of a medal their, it is safe to think that he may have a few more upsets left in him.  It also helps that he has one of the coolest pairs of headgear in the NCAA.




He wrestled recently at the Wilkes open and went 4-0 with three technical falls. I would like to think that means he'll be wrestling at the Scuffle but I have no idea.  What Lehigh does and why Lehigh does it, remains a mystery to me.  Sometimes I feel like taking the Mystery Machine into Bethlehem and along with Scooby, Shaggy and the gang trying to figure out what in the Hell is going on.   If Schuyler indeed competes here, he'll be a force to be reckoned with.  I would go as far as to call him a title contender.


157 lbs






Not only do I predict #1 Jason Nolf of Penn State to be this year's 157 lbs Southern Scuffle champion, I predict he'll major, if not tech and pin his way through the semi-finals.  I can see him being taken down a time or two, as he is susceptible as much as he opens himself up. Yet he's so aggressive, so technical and so athletic that he'll outscore his all but maybe his finals opponent by no less than 8 points. He's #1 and he's staying #1.




After watching #5 Hayden Hidlay of North Carolina State at last year's NCAA championships, I would not only predict him to be Nolf's finals opponent, but I would have given him a shot at a possible upset.  He only lost once last season and it was in the NCAA finals to Nolf.  This year, with a loss to #3 Larry Early of Old Dominion and #4 Tyler Berger of Nebraska, he has already lost twice. I wouldn't call this seriously alarming but it does suggest a few possibilities.  One of which is that Hidlay doesn't even make the finals. If he does, I see Nolf controlling the match and winning by a comfortable lead.



I called Bakersfield's Russell Rohlfing inconsistent and unpredictable earlier, but I think even more so is Stanford's Paul Fox.  In the film FORREST GUMP, Tom Hanks was referring to a box of chocolates, when he said, "You never know what you're gonna get."  In wrestling, we're referring to Paul Fox.

At first I found it strange when he was the only Stanford wrestler to compete in Reno, winning a title.  Then I realized what it really was, was brilliant coaching on the part of Jason Borrelli.  Got a wrestler that is in need of a confidence booster?  Have him win a major in season tournament.

Fox placed 7th at the Scuffle as a freshman and 3rd last year as a junior.  Talent wise, a win over Hidlay may shock the rest of the wrestling community, but it wouldn't surprise me any.  I know how good Fox is.  It's simply a matter of whether he wrestles that well or not.  When it comes to Paul Fox you may get runner-up honors or you may get not even making the round of twelve.  No matter what prediction you make for him, you always have at least some chance of being right.







Fox being a part of this as much as anyone, securing one of what should be six of eight remaining spots on the award stand, will be an all and all out war. Lots of eligible candidates in this one.

If you want a feel good story, one of true perseverance look no further than Columbia's Dan Reed.  After losing records his sophomore and junior seasons, he took a redshirt this past year to come back this season and earn himself a #14 ranking. The Scuffle gives him a great opportunity to test that ranking.

#18 Andrew Shomers (sorry I put Alex, meant to put Andrew.  This is a blog. I'm an amateur) of Oklahoma State will certainly be in the mix. 

As will #20 Josh Humphreys of Lehigh, who has thus far done a great job filling in for an injured Ian Brown who placed seventh at last year's Scuffle. His most impressive win thus far is pinning former Princeton NCAA qualifier Mike D'Angelo at the Binghamton Bearcat open.

#12 Tyler Marinelli has been a highlight for the Gardner-Webb wrestling program the past couple of seasons. A 26-8 record with a Southern Conference championship last year, he is currently 9-0 looking to become the first two-time Southern Conference champion in school history.  Adding a medal from the Scuffle to his resume, objectively could make him the best wrestler to ever compete for the runnin' bulldogs.

Virginia Tech's B.C. LaPrade is another wrestler to look out for this tournament.  A 9-3 victory of Jarrett Jacques of Missouri and a recent 14-2 dismantling of West Virginia's Zach Moore more than show what he is capable of.

It has been rather dark times for the Edinboro program as of late. It was only a few short years ago that the Fighting Scotts were bringing home team trophies from the NCAA's.  Today, most of their 2017-2018 starting lineup is now competing for other schools. The one sparkle of light that remains is in current redshirt Peter Pappas who currently owns 18 wins so far this season.  A medal here would be important to both him and the program.

Last but certainly not least is the Air Force's Alex Mossing.  A hot and cold wrestler that gets to damn near freezing temperatures when he's cold, but can get hotter than blazes of the sun when he's hot.  He's shown what he's capable of in brilliant glimpses in the past.  He owns a win over Stanford's Paul Fox and he had North Carolina's Kennedy Monday beat at the CKLV until he ran out of steam. He was one match shy of a medal here last year.  If he can get his conditioning to the level of his ability, I think he could surprise many, including himself. The guy has talent.


165 lbs


There aren't many guarantees in life but death, taxes and Vincenzo Joseph winning the 165 lbs Southern Scuffle title are among three of them. I would like to think that Lock Haven's #3 Chance Marsteller has a fighter's chance against him but until proven otherwise Joseph isn't a guy you bet against. 



In the spirit of Steve Marinelli and Darrion Caldwell, I am going to throw it out there that Marsteller could pull off the upset though. Might as well, stranger things have happened.




With the talk of a Joseph Vs Marsteller finals, pardon the pun, by there is a chance that Chance might not even make the finals. He has some stiff competition standing in his way.  He had two close matches with #8 Mekhi Lewis of Virginia Tech last season (one of which was for third place at the Scuffle) and one with #10 Chandler Rogers of Oklahoma State. 





Although he's currently unranked Gordon Wolf of Lehigh has done enough in his career, including placing fifth at last year's Scuffle, to make me think he's more than capable of making the award stand again.

#16 Ebed Jarrell of Drexel has only lost once so far this year and it has been to #1 Joseph.  Among his wins, he has defeated #20 Jesse Dellavecchia of Rider (also mentioned here) 5-2 and #6 Isaiah White of Nebraska 6-3.  He placed sixth at last year's Scuffle.






NCAA qualifier Zach Finesilver of Duke is another wrestler to watch for. It seems among his hot and cold streaks he keeps the temperature cool more often than warm, but as he showed last year in wins verses May Bethea of Penn, Andrew Atkinson of Virginia and Brian Hamann of North Carolina State, he is capable of doing big things.

One of the biggest pleasant surprises for the Cardinal this year has been sophomore Dominick Mandarino.  Among upsetting teammate Paul Fox, he defeated B.C. LaPrade of Virginia Tech and gave #4 Tyler Berger all he could handle in a 10-7 loss. Granted that was all at 157 lbs.  It'll be anxious to see if he can make his mark 8 lbs up. 

I'm still a big believer that transfer Colston DiBlasi will be a first in a number of categories for the Patriots in his remaining two years of eligibility.  He certainly won't be the first conference champion in school history in respect to Bagna Tovuujav and Cayle Byers, both of whom won CAA titles but since George Mason's move into the EWL, he could be there first champion there.  The Patriots have placed wrestlers at the Scuffle in past seasons, but it has been a while.  A wrestle that seems to make it up as he goes and invent new techniques, he can score on you with moves that not even Ken Chertow can describe.



174 lbs


Here we go!! Bar none, the toughest weight class at the Scuffle in terms of winning a title. 

First off we have #1 Mark Hall of Penn State who won the title last season.  He is undefeated Vs #6 Jordan Kutler of Lehigh in three matches, one of which took place what will soon be a month ago. He's never wrestled Joe Smith of Oklahoma State or David McFadden of Virginia Tech.

Kutler finished runner-up to Hall at last year's Scuffle and won a title two seasons ago as a freshman.  He too has never wrestled Smith or McFadden.

Smith has two runner-up finishes at the Scuffle.  He's never faced Hall, Kutler or McFadden and that's the kicker. We got a small glimpse of him at Reno, where he shared a title with teammate Jacobe Smith and tore Michigan State's Drew Hughes apart in a 16-3 major decision.  Yet, that's all it was, a preview. It's almost like Smith is a secret weapon, waiting to be unleashed.  Think about it for a second.  Whether it's him or teammate Jacobe, one of these guys is sitting on the bench come year's end.  You'd think that if Joe wins the Scuffle, he'd be the starter for sure but head coach John Smith has made decisions 15 years ago I still can't make sense of. So I'm not assuming anything.  Can you imagine someone winning a Scuffle title, with a win over #1 Hall, not even being the starter at the Big 12 conference tournament? I don't know about you, but it blows my mind.

Then there's also McFadden. #5 David McFadden of Virginia Tech.  He's never faced any of the others either. I still question his effectiveness at 174 lbs after being at 165, but I trust he'll show me soon enough that he's more than fine up a weight class.



If for some reason #7 Jacobe Smith of Oklahoma State happens to come across this blog, I imagine he won't be none too happy about me leaving him out of the discussion in terms of a title.  Unfortunately or fortunately for him, he didn't wrestle teammate Joe Smith at Reno. Therefore I didn't get to see for myself whether he is or whether he isn't better and until I do, I'm not buying it.  With that said, I see him placing no lower than fifth.  I can even see him beating one of the four I have listed above in route to a higher finish.  Give me another helping of crow if he wins it.

#19 Matt Finesilver of Duke placed eighth here last year. Wouldn't it be the shit if all four Finesilvers were to medal at this year's Scuffle?  It'll have to be this year or never, consider two of the four are seniors this season.

#17 Spencer Carey of Navy was a match away from placing at last season's Scuffle and he recently placed an impressive fifth at CKLV.  I would think he makes the award stand this year.






In this sport things hardly ever work out the way you think they should.  You can study a weight class until you are blue in the face. The way things work out on paper and the way things work out on the mat are usually mutually exclusive of one another.  Nevertheless until I find out with wrestlers not participating that I thought would and upsets I never saw coming, I have a lot of confidence in the seven wrestlers I've mentioned thus far.   To me the real question is, who takes that eighth place spot?

I really don't know to be honest. If I had to guess, I'd narrow it down to one of three people. 

Iowa State freshman Marcus Coleman has looked pretty good. He's won a couple of small tournaments so far this season. 

Then we have NCAA qualifier Dean Sherry of Rider and Vincent DePrez of Binghamton.  Both seem to be in a bit of slump so far this year.  Sherry's lost some matches that I would think last year's EWL champion to have won.  DePrez who won 23 matches last season, who I hope to see earn his first NCAA qualification this year as a senior, had a terrible CKLV tournament. He went 0-2, verses having won matches there in three previous tournaments.  A good showing at the Scuffle would be good for either one of these guys.


184 lbs


Four wrestlers stick out at 184 lbs as plausible Southern Scuffle champions.  With one major decision and the rest being techs or pins, #3 Shakur Rasheed makes yet another Penn State wrestler poised for a title. Winning a title at 197 lbs last season, he has yet to face any of the other candidates.

#4 Nick Reenan of North Carolina State owns a sudden victory over #9 Zack Zavatsky of Virginia Tech and is split thus far with #8 Ryan Preisch of Lehigh. He owns a 4-1 victory and he lost an 11-5 decision.  He placed fourth at the Scuffle last year.

Zavatsky along with what has already been mentioned, owns a 3-1 suddeven victory over Preisch. 

So as you can see plenty of parity to go around. Semi-finals could be every bit as good, if not better than the finals in this one.




With the likes of guys like #17 Corey Hazel on board, Coach Scott Moore is quietly continuing to build on last year's unexpected success. It won't be long before, under his leadership, the Golden Eagles soar to the heights of yesteryear. Thus far this season Hazel owns victories over #10 Lou DePrez of Binghamton and #19 Noah Stewart of Army.  He kept Preisch to a 1-0 decision at Journeyman back in November.

Could be wrong and if I am, I am but I see Geer at 184 for the Scuffle and Weigel at 197.  It was recently changed on intermat's rankings, but back when they had Weigel at 197 and Geer at 184 he was #15.  Like I said earlier I don't always get what's going on inside John Smith's head.  To me it makes more since to wrestle Geer at 184, where he's already proven he's capable and to wrestle Weigel at 197, where he's good enough to win it.  To me that makes more sense than to wrestle Geer at 197 and have Weigel sit.  That's me though.   With that said, if Geer is at 184 I most certainly see him placing. He's already racked up 45 wins at 184 in past seasons, with wins over All Americans Jacob Holschlag of Northern Iowa and Chip Ness of North Carolina.

It's not easy to replace a guy like Steve Schneider but it didn't take Binghamton long at all. As soon as the three time NCAA qualifier departed due to graduation, in walked freshman Lou DePrez who has quickly made a name for himself earning the #10 ranking.  At CKLV not only did DePrez place fifth but he did so in fashion clobbering #18 Jelani Embree of Michigan 9-0 and defeating #6 Max Dean of Cornell 5-3 s.v. 

Iowa State rookie Sam Colbray has earned himself a #18 ranking and it'll be fun to see if there is more to that ranking than just a win over #14 Cash Wilcke of Iowa.





Virginia Tech has nothing to worry about when Zavatsky graduates this may. Current redshit Hunter Bolen will fill in beautifully.  He's currently 7-0 throughout open tournaments this season, including a win over All American #11 Chip Ness of North Carolina. 



Then we have yet another Hokie, Stan Smeltzer, who placed eighth at last year's Scuffle.  He's behind Zavatsky this year and will most likely be behind Bolen next year.  You know I can name you well over 100 Division I schools that at one time had a wrestling program that no longer do. Over 100 programs that all qualified wrestlers to the NCAA championships. Makes you wonder if NCAA Division I wrestling was 200 schools instead of 75 if a guy as good as Smeltzer would be riding the bench somewhere doesn't it? I guess I don't know for sure, but he is currently 4 1/2 hours from home.  James Madison is a little over 3 hours, as is Liberty.  Virginia Common Wealth is an hour and a half,  and William and Mary is a little less than an hour.  Maybe just maybe if he had had the option he would have wanted to have wrestled a little closer to home.

The true darkhorse here is Appalachian State's Alan Clothier. I feel a little funny calling him a darkhorse considering that he placed sixth here last year, but he's not looking so hot this year.  A losing record including his last four matches. He could use a good showing at the Scuffle.


197 lbs


Brandon Slay has an Olympic gold medal, but in strict collegiate terms we are looking at the best wrestler to ever come out of the state of Texas. Arguably the best wrestler of the 2018-2019 season. A candidate for the Hodge. Like other members of Penn State #1 Bo Nickal at the present time looks to be about damn near unstoppable. 






If it wasn't for all of the damn injuries he's suffered during his career, I wouldn't even use the term "darkhorse."  I know a 100% healthy #6 Preston Weigel of Oklahoma State is good enough to hang with Nickal. I have no doubt about that. What I doubt is whether Weigel is 100% or not.  Injuries kept him to only fourteen matches last season.  Nevertheless even in a shortened season, he defeated eventual NCAA champion Michael Macchiavello of North Carolina State among many other highly notable wins.  After his injury he lost to Kent State's Kyle Conel 5-0, who he easily tech'd when he was 100% healthy  15-0 in the first period earlier in the year.  I don't think many are aware of just how good Weigel is when health and injuries aren't hampering his performance.  Love to see him at his best here.  At his best, he can beat anyone.

With that said, it's only fair to add in Iowa State's #5 Willie Miklus to the mix.  No excuses here. When he met Weigel last season, he beat him legit, fair and square 10-4.  Miklus is a tournament wrestler. He doesn't always place as high as I sometimes think he will, but one way or another he always seems to find his way onto the award stand.





After the first three wrestlers,  I feel that fourth through eighth place at Scuffle 197 lbs are totally up for grabs.  This weight class has a ton of parity, guys neck and neck with one another and between the Midlands and the Scuffle I wouldn't want the headache the rankings will be.  Wouldn't be the least bit surprised to see results that shake up the rankings more than any other weight class.

Seven ranked wrestlers, all with quality wins and quality performances. 

#8 Nathan Traxler of Stanford, 12 wins so far this season including #9 C.J. Brunner of Purdue, #14 Greg Bulsack of Clarion and #17 Stephen Loiseau of Drexel. Traxler recently took 4th at CKLV.

#15 Tom Sleigh of Virginia Tech placed 7th at CKLV.

#16 Malik McDonald of North Carolina State with a recent win over #12 Eric Schultz of Nebraska.

#17 Stephen Loiseau of Drexel placed 4th at the Scuffle last season.  This year wins over #12 Eric Schultz of Nebraska and #18 Randall Diabe of Appalachian State suggest he can do it again.

Speaking of Diabe, he's a six match win streak, which includes victories over #16 McDonald and Jake Woodley of Oklahoma.

I can no longer call Air Force's Anthony McLaughlin the best wrestler in the NCAA to not be ranked as he finally has the honor of being ranked #20.  Could be hire by the end of the Scuffle.

There there's #8 Jake Jacobsen of Lehigh who at the current time seems a little high to me.  He placed 8th at last year's championships.




You'd think I'd be done talking about potential medalists but I'm not. 

Gotta include NCAA qualifier Chris Weiler of Lehigh. 

Then there's also Sawyer Root of the Citadel.  Already close to twenty wins this season, a match shy of placing at CKLV and an impressive 3rd place showing at Reno.

What a crazy weight class!


HWT



This is the finals match I think we'll see at the Scuffle.  Sort of the ultimate wrestle off if you will.  Two of the best HWTs in the nation, and they're on the same team.  Thus far Cassar has proven to be the man, but often times in the sport of wrestling, competing against someone in the room and competing against them in a major tournament can be a completely different thing.  Coach Ryan Morningstar of Iowa likes to call it, "Under the lights" and some compete better under the lights than others. It'll be an interesting match, if it happens of course.





I would like to think that Cassar and Nevills will be on opposite sides of the bracket. If they are, then I stand by my prediction that the two meet up in the finals. If for some reason they're on the same side of the bracket, and meet up before the finals, then I predict whoever wins to face #3 Derek White of Oklahoma State in the finals.  While he did win a Reno title recently, White has yet to really be challenged this season.  He didn't look good vs #2 Gable Stevenson of Minnesota, but other than Tanner Hall of Arizona State, neither has anyone else.  It'll be interesting to see if White holds up against the competition.




On paper, the 2019 Southern Scuffle HWT medalists seems pretty straight forward to me. You have seven ranked wrestlers and the best backup (speaking in HWT terms) in the country vs a field that at least "on paper" doesn't seem that deep in comparison.

#7 Billy Miller spent a redshirt and three varsity seasons at Edinboro, is now at Virginia Tech in his final season. The Scuffle gives the Hokies an opportunity to evaluate exactly where he is and how much of an impact he brings to the team. 

#6 Jordan Wood of Lehigh is another guy I can see doing well here.  His one loss this season is a 12-3 major decision to Cassar, so I don't see him making the finals but I can see him finishing as high as third. In his only meeting with White, he lost a tight 3-2 decision, that could potentially turn into a win.

#10 Thomas Haines of Lock Haven should place.

#17 Joey Goodhart of Drexel recently placed eighth at CKLV and should also place.

#16 Matt Voss of George Mason has close to twenty wins already this season, one of which was a 5-2 decision over #10 Haines.  A good showing could see him jump up the ladder on the rankings quite a few spots.



And there you have it.  Individually speaking that is what I see going down at this year's Southern Scuffle.


WHY DIDN'T YOU INCLUDE NORTHERN COLORADO!?!!!? AH!!?!?!?!?!??!?!

Because, AH!!!!!! They're Not listed!!!!  https://gomocs.com/sports/2018/10/15/2019-southern-scuffle-participants.aspx

They're not included on this list.  I've heard from others that they're going to be there.  After I wrote this, I checked and indeed the Southern Scuffle is on their schedule.  Why they're not included in the list I linked above, I have no idea.

With that said....

I think Northern Colorado could possibly place two wrestlers at the Scuffle. 

I would like to think Rico Montoya, two time NCAA qualifier would be one of them.  The 13-3 major decision loss to Hofstra's Dylan Ryder doesn't sit well with me at all, and it makes me wonder if the cut down to 125 lbs was really the bet thing for Montoya or not.  Yet, he remains ranked #17 in the country and he's not the first wrestler to ever suffer a bad loss.  Years ago Zach Tanelli of Wisconsin suffered two headscratcher losses in a row, only to turn around a short time later and win the Midlands.  To add further oddness to the situation, both wrestlers who beat him (One of which was Northern Iowa's Trent Washington, the other escapes my mind at the moment) were also in the bracket and failed to place.  So with that said, it can certainly be done.

The real bear to watch here though, I think is Jacob Seely at 197 lbs.  Yes, Seely did have a losing record last year, but he was also 10-0 before an injury got the best of him.  Among those ten wins was a 3-1 sudden victory over #20 Anthony McLaughlin of Air Force and a 10-8 victory over former All American Kevin Beazley of Michigan.  If he's no longer hampered by injuries, I look for Seely to throw yet another wrench in the 197 lbs weight class.  If it isn't chaos enough as it is.



TEAM 

I almost feel as if I'm patronizing you by saying this. As if it even needs to be said.  Penn State is winning this thing.  Unless for some reason they don't enter a lot of guys, no one else even comes close.   They're just too good.  It'd be nice to think maybe Oklahoma State could give them a run for their money but 165 through HWT, the Nittany Lions are a Tsar bomb. Unstoppable destroying everything in their path. 

Saturday, December 22, 2018

The Midlands - My Thoughts

One of my favorite in season tournaments is about to take way!  Looks to be a great tournament with a ton of great matches.  Let's take a look at each weight class.


125 lbs 




Iowa fans probably aren't crazy about the fact that I give Rivera a fighter's chance against Lee in the finals considering the last time the two met, Lee dominated Rivera in a 12-0 major decision.  They may be right. Lee is on another level and until proven otherwise, looks to be unstoppable.  Nevertheless Rivera is currently 8-0, the #2 ranked wrestler in the country and he is coming off of a CKLV championship.  To add fuel to the fire, he'll be wrestling in front of a hometown crowd. What better place to knock off whom many consider to be unbeatable?


After a rough 14-1 loss to Roman Bravo-Young of Penn State, one thing is for certain.  Ryan Millhof of Arizona State isn't a 133 lbs wrestler.  What he is though, is a 125 lbs wrestler. A 125 lbs wrestler who is 10-0 at 125 lbs, currently ranked #7 in the nation.  I think it'd be a tropical day in Antarctica before Millhof would pull off an upset against a healthy Lee but I can see him potentially knocking off Rivera.  I give it a 1 in 10 shot, so not much of one, but the last time the two met, Millhof was able to keep it close at a 5-2 decision.


Very confident that either Lee or possibly Rivera will be our champion, with Millhof having an outside shot.  As to the other five medalist, those listed above look to be our forerunners.  After two years of some notable wins, junior Travis Piotrowski of Illinois is finally garnering a bit of respect with a #13 ranking. He's only 4-3 at the moment, but his three losses have all been to wrestlers ranked above him. A good draw could see him in the semi-finals.

Princeton's Pat Glory is an aggressive, go-getter consistently on the attack.  I hope in the years to come that the sport does not tame him too much and he continues his relentless 
pursuit to score points.  I would like to see his aggressiveness rewarded with a good showing, that he is more than capable of at this tournament.

#20 Conner Brown of Wisconsin along with unranked Drew Hildebrandt of Central Michigan and Mike McGee of Old Dominion look to be our best bets for the other place-winners.


As to possible darkhorse place-winners I narrow it down to three guys.  Buffalo's Kyle Akins has been known to wrestle well on occasions. I'm not putting any money on it, but if he slips into the seventh place match, I wouldn't be none too surprised.

As to Northern Iowa's Jay Schwarm, I'm not sure what to think.  The guy has talent, no doubt about it.  25 wins last season and an NCAA qualification. He has some big wins in his career, including one over Millhof.  Yet he hasn't looked as good as of late. A good showing at this year's Midlands is exactly what he needs.

A few of you might be raising your eyebrows at my pick of Korbin Meink considering he'll be entering the Midlands with a losing record. That's all fine and dandy.  What I'm looking at and what sticks out to me the most is a 4-1 over #19 Shakur Laney of Ohio back in November.  That to me is enough evidence to suggest a possible placing.

133 lbs 







As of right now the only post-graduate that I am aware of competing for sure at this year's Midlands championships is former NCAA champion/four time All American Nathan Tomasello.  There is a 99.99% chance that barring injuries or something else bizarre that our finals match will be Tomasello vs returning 2018 NCAA champion, ranked #1 in the nation Seth Gross of South Dakota State.  Let me make like a bystander in SUPERMAN II who was about to witness a showdown between General Zod and Superman and say, "this is gonna be good!"

From Tomasello's perspective it gives him a bit of solace.  A win over Gross helps us to remember just how good he is and how three third place finishes in a row just as easily could have been first place finishes. It solidifies him and keeps him in our thoughts as a threat in Pan-Am, World and Olympic discussions.  It's also great for the sport and for the Midlands itself.  One of the things that has made the Midlands such a magical and special tournament over the years has been post graduate participation.  Hope by the time the tournament starts that he's far from the only one competing. 

As for Gross, an opportunity to wrestle and defeat Tomasello would be huge for his career and his confidence. For one, it might silence the critics out there who think Gross won't be able to repeat his NCAA championship performance from last season.  Argue if you will but as far as I'm concerned if Gross can defeat Tomasello, then he can defeat Daton Fix of Oklahoma State or Nick Suriano of Rutgers.


Something tells me that I'll have at least one Iowa fan if not more on my case about not giving #11 ranked Austin DeSanto mention as a plausible Midland's Champ.  I can see him doing a lot of great things but beating Tomasello or Gross?  Sorry, not happening.  If it does, I'll eat crow.

With that said, I do think DeSanto will have an outstanding Midlands performance and I can see him dominating his way to a third place finish.  Really there is only one wrestler at 133 lbs other than Tomasello and Gross that I can see beating him.  Even at that, I'm still pretty confident that DeSanto wins if they meet up.


And to quickly answer that question as to who that other wrestler is, it is none other than #17 ranked Dylan Duncan of Illinois.  As I said, I do give the nod to DeSanto if the two meet up, especially in what could be the consolation finals but I'll give Duncan enough of a chance to at least mention it. 

As to the other four place-winners I've narrowed it down to seven.  Some I feel a lot better about than I do others, but never the less, I see seven.  

Arizona State has two solid 133 lbs'ers in Josiah Kline and Josh Kramer and I can see either one of them or even both making the award stand.  

Cal Poly's Yoshi Funakoshi is quietly having himself a pretty decent senior season.  Of his seven current wins, one is over Army's Lane Peters who had 21 wins last season and the other is over NCAA Qualifier Colin Valdiviez of Northwestern (Who I meant to add by the way.)  

A bit on the inconsistent side, it is worth noting that Noah Gonser of Campbell has defeated #15 Korbin Myers of Virginia Tech, #12 Montorie Bridges of Wyoming and 2017 CKLV place-winner Zach Sherman of North Carolina so far this season.  The key for Gonser will be putting a series of matches together.  Following up a first round win with a second round win and a second round win with a quarterfinal win.  

Lastly you have Desanto's backup in Paul Glynn, who could start for a number of other teams and Princeton's Ty Agaisse who we have yet to see this season.  


141 lbs 



Eight guys. Seems like an awful lot to project as plausible champions but I'll tell you why I can see any of these eight guys possibly winning it all.  Each and every single one of them currently carries a chip on their shoulder.  All eight of them have something to prove. 

The obvious pick is returning Midland's champion Mason Smith of Campbell. He's so new to the Campbell program that I had to post a picture of him in his Central Michigan warm-up.  What concerns me about Smith though, is that he has yet to compete this season. There are some wrestlers that already have close to twenty matches. That may or may not have an effect on Smith's conditioning and performance. 

#6 Mike Carr of Illinois shocked the wrestling world last season by upsetting his way to the BIG 10 finals.  A couple of weeks ago he medical forfeited to sixth place at CKLV.  He wants to be taken seriously as a threat to the NCAA title.  Winning a Midland's championship, would certainly help. 

#10 Josh Alber of Northern Iowa is one of the best seniors in the nation without an AA in his resume. It's been said for years that the Midlands is a great mid-season opportunity to see exactly where you're at. 

#13 Sa'Derian Perry of Old Dominion hasn't looked the best this season after earning All American status last season as a sophomore. He needs something to boost his confidence and get himself out of the current funk that he is in.  Prescribe me a better medicine than a good showing at the Midlands. 

Wisconsin's #14 Tristan Moran has been all over the place. One minute he has All American written all over him and the next you can see him wrestling for true thirteenth place at the BIG 10's. In terms of not only pulling him up the ladder of the rankings but in also helping him on down the road in future seeding meetings, a good showing here is essential. 

Brian Lantry of Buffalo is currently ranked #11 and he did finish as the 2017 Midland's runner-up down a weight class at 133 lbs.  I can't make the claim that he isn't getting respect, because he is.  Yet I don't think too many are taking him that seriously.  I think a few are toying around with the idea of him being round of twelve at the NCAA's, but that's about as good as it gets. To garner some real attention and gain some real respect it'll take something like winning the Midlands. 

Ryan Diehl of Maryland had a losing record last season.  None the less he had some impressive wins and showed how dangerous he can be with upper body throws.  He not only pinned Minnesota All American Tommy Thorn in a dual in what many thought was a fluke, but he came back to major Thorn 9-1 at the BIG 10's to prove that it wasn't a fluke.  He then knocked Penn State's Nick Lee into the consolations by tossing him to his back at the NCAA's.   And that's what it's all about. Proving to the wrestling world that his ability to win is more than catching someone off guard and putting them on their back.  

As to Max Murin, he wrestles for Iowa.  What more needs to be said?  Even though he placed fifth last season, it still isn't good enough for the Hawkeye faithful. In spite of your competition, they expect nothing less than the absolute best. It's time to find out just how good he really is. 

So yeah, as far as I'm concerned, eight guys going for the title. 



Your eyes are not deceiving you. That is indeed three wrestlers from Iowa that I have listed in the category of others to watch for at 141 lbs.  As far as I'm concerned the Hawkeyes are loaded at this weight class and the Midlands is the place to prove it. Hell Happel is already a Midland's place-winner having taken sixth last season. Turk an NCAA qualifier has a number of quality wins in his career, including one this season over #19 Ian Parker of Iowa State.  Then to top that off you have Stickley, who is a pretty touch hombre in his own right.  It would take good draws and avoiding one another along the way, but the idea of Iowa putting three wrestlers on the award stand here is not as far fetched as you might think.  

Yahya Thomas of Northwestern placed seventh last season, but thus far, he hasn't looked as good this year. Being a home tournament should excite him and perhaps we'll see him back on the award stand this tournament. 

Lastly I'll say that it blows my mind how much Coach Cary Kolat has done with the Campbell wresting program in such a relatively short amount of time. It wasn't that long ago that the question every year was whether the Camels would have at least one ranked wrestler or not. Now look. Here we are in the 2018-2019 season and the Camels are deep enough at 141 lbs to where we can give serious consideration to the thought that they might have two Midlands place-winners.  It isn't as plausible as Iowa placing three, but it is still possible. 


149 lbs 


Princeton's Matt Kolodzik is only a junior and already going for his fourth Midlands medal. He has the opportunity to be the first wrestler from Princeton to be a five time medalist. His fourth medal this season, an opportunity to be the first from Princeton to win a Midland's title.  Yes, I do realize that he was pinned by Iowa's Pat Lugo last season. Ironically enough at the Midland's. I also am well aware that Northern Iowa's Max Thomsen scored a 4-3 victory on him at last year's classic.  Neither loss concerns me.  For one Kolodzik has already defeated Lugo this season, and Lugo has been looking rather sluggish.  As to Thomsen, he poses more of a threat but I just feel Kolodzik is on a whole other level. 


As to who faces Kolodzik in the finals? There is so much damn parity in wrestling, it makes it hard to say.  Already mentioned as they should be, #9 Lugo and #10 Thomsen are threats. In my humble opinion #12 Josh Maruca of Arizona State was one of the, if not the best backup in the country last season behind Jason Tsirtsis.  His 1-0 loss to Wisconsin's #20 Cole Martin sticks out like a sore thumb, but I can't help but think we could see him have a breakout performance this tournament. 



It puts me in a good mood to realistically put yet another Campbell wrestler in the running for a Midland's medal. Josh Heil has been hot this season. A sixth place finish at CKLV, which included a sudden victory over #10 Thomsen listed above. (Did I mention parity in this weight class yet?)

Anthony Artalona has been the highlight in an otherwise down year for the Quakers this season.  I am dying to see a rematch between him and #17 Baby J Bannister of Maryland. I really hope we see it at the Midlands.  To further the good mood this weight class puts me in, Artalona further gives testimony to my rant about Florida producing the best talent of all of the states without a Division I program.  Maybe someday guys like Artalona will be able to suit up as Gators, Seminoles, Rattlers, or Hatters instead of having to go out of state if they want to compete in NCAA Division I.

If you follow me on Twitter then you already know I'm a huge Henry Pohlmeyer fan.  Currently #19, I'd love to see him have a great tournament.  Consistency will be the key.

Consistency will also be a key factor for #20 Cole Martin of Wisconsin.  The win over Maruca in the SIUE finals ought to have him coming into this tournament fairly confident.  When on, Martin can be one to watch out for.  He scored some offensive points in his 13-8 loss to Kolodzik back in November.




Another homer, Northwestern's Shayne Oster has looked pretty good as of late. He recently scored a 7-5 victory over Stanford's Requir Van De Merwe who nearly majored him earlier this season 8-1. He also owns an 8-7 tiebreaker over Virginia Tech's Ryan Blees. There's no reason not to think that his current success may bleed over into the Midlands.

As to Khristian Olivas he has a 16-1 technical over Blees himself.  Wouldn't be the least bit surprised to see him wrestling in the blood round for a medal.  Whether he wins that match or not is another story but being in it seems feasible. 


157 lbs

Sometimes in NCAA Division I wrestling the distance between a guy ranked #1 and a guy ranked #5 can be mere inches. Like St. Paul to Minneapolis its hard to tell where one begins and where one ends.  Other times, the distance between a guy ranked #2 and a guy ranked #3 can stretch from El Paso to Toronto.  In the case of Ryan Deakin it is the latter. He already controlled #3 ranked Larry Early of Old Dominion 6-1 this season.  I don't see anyone even remotely challenging him. Not on his home turf, not in his house.



You know I want to put as much stock into Larry Early's victory of North Carolina State's Hayden Hidlay as everyone else seems to but I just can't.  I'm not completely sold yet on his #3 ranking and it'll take watching him go through the grueling grind of a first round, second round, quarter-final and semi-final win to convince me.  Depending on seeding, I can see Iowa's #8 Kaleb Young giving him a difficult time and I can ever seen #13 ranked Eric Barone of Illinois giving him a fit.



It's been quite the journey for Arizona State's Christian Pagdilao. After qualifying for the NCAA's as a freshman in 2015, he's been a backup ever since. Finally back in the lineup, it hasn't taken him long to establish himself as a top twenty competitor with a #15 ranking and a 9-3 record, which includes a victory over #16 Lucas Weiland of the Army.  It is likely that the two could meet up again this tournament. 

As for putting too much stock into a victory, call me a hypocrite. I have to admit that I still put quite a bit of stock into Buffalo's Alex Smythe's 13-7 victory over Zander Wick of Wisconsin.  If anything I think its that I want to see Buffalo have success.  Amongst the powerhouses of Penn State, Oklahoma State and the likes, it's nice to see the little guys do well once in a while. 

Lastly I think it is a strong possibility that we could see Austin Kraisser of Campbell on the award stand.  He hasn't competed yet this year but he had twenty wins last season.  Hunter Willits of Oregon State and Tyler Marinelli of Gardner Webb, both NCAA qualifiers, among those wins. 

165 lbs 



The hunt for the title at 165 lbs is going to be an all out war. Iowa's #4 Alex Marinelli is the returning champion, and it is unlikely that he'll even be seeded first.  That nod will most likely go to #2 Evan Wick on Wisconsin who had his way with Marinelli at the NCAA's last year 16-3.  To top that off #5 Josh Shields of Arizona State who finished second last year at 157 is also in the hunt.  What makes 165 lbs at the Midland's championships so interesting is that another plausible champion is Shields' backup Anthony Valencia who finished fourth last season.  The Sun Devils must think its the "in thing" to have the best back ups in the country, because they do this at more than one weight.




With the likes of Marinelli, Wick and Shields it doesn't even seem right to joke about someone else sneaking in a title but in all honesty their are two guys I can see doing it.  Nelson Brands of Iowa. First off he's a Brands. If he's anything like his Dad or Uncle Tom, he wants to be good and he has no intention of waiting his turn. There's no patience in this kid.  Today, not tomorrow. I can see him opening up and letting lose. I can see that happening.

If not for an injury that slowed him up earlier this year at CKLV, there is no doubt in my mind that Northern Iowa's Bryce Steiert would be ranked higher than #12.  He's a tough kid who took #2 Wick to a 3-2 decision at the Harold Nichol's open earlier this year.  He's a talented wrestler and may more than show us at the Midlands.


#15 Joey Gunther has a pretty decent showing in a rather stacked weight class at CKLV, where he finished in eighth place, with all eight place winners being ranked in the top twenty.  While the Midland's bracket is obviously more stacked (one of the few weights where it is) it is still reasonable to think that he'll make the award stand.

As for #19 Jonathan Viruet it'll take both a good draw and wrestling at his best, but he is more than capable of securing a medal that he was win shy short of at last year's championships. 


174 lbs

I would like to somewhat give #8 Taylor Lujan of Arizona State a fighting chance against #2 Zahid Valencia in the finals but I just don't think that's going to happen. At 174 lbs there is Penn State's Mark Hall, Valencia and then everybody else. The last time the two met, Valencia dominated in a 14-6 major decision.  I see a similar finish here.  With that said though, I do believe that Lujan is the second best wrestler in the bracket.  I don't see anyone challenging him for a spot in the finals.

I think the real question at 174 lbs will be who will take the bronze? You have the #10, the #11 and the #12 ranked wrestlers in the country battling it out for the prestigious spot.  No doubt Northwestern's Johnny Sebastian wants to improve upon his seventh place finish last year and add depth to the home teams medalists.  Ryan Christensen of Wisconsin who finished one match shy of placing last season has thus far been having himself an outstanding senior season, high lighted by a fall over Nebraska's #9 Mikey Labriola.  He also has a tiebreaker victory over Army's Ben Harvey, who is our other challenger. 

One of the other guys to keep an eye on here is Old Dominion's #20 Seldon Wright. While I don't see him finishing as high as third place, I do see him placing.  For what it's worth, he did defeat Sebastian last season 3-2.

Then we also have Britt Wilson of Northern Illinois who is currently the Huskies' best bet in revamping life into what was once a solid and respectable program.  The days of Sam Hiatt, Pat Castillo, Mike Grimes, Scott Owen, Shawn Scott and Ben Heizer seem far behind us but all it takes is a good performance on a good day.  If 125 lbs Brock Hudkins recovers 100%, along with Wilson it might be the Huskies' best performance in quite sometime.  As to the here and now, Wilson has victories over Drew Hughes of Michigan State, Kimball Bastian of Utah Valley and Lorenzo De La Riva.  All legitimate reason to think he could place.

184 lbs

 Of all of the potential finals matches, this one interest me the most. Illinois' #2 Emery Parker, last year's champion is currently 2-0 against #7 Drew Foster of Northern Iowa.  Yet it's hard to beat someone three times in a row, especially someone as good as Drew Foster.  I think this will be an exciting, high scoring match full of lots of action.After Parker and Foster we have #14 Cash Wilcke of Iowa and #20 Noah Stewart of Army.  To yet again tick off Iowa fans, no I don't see Wilcke as a potential finalist. I don't even see him as a darkhorse.  He was the champion last season at 197 lbs, and think until proven otherwise that he was better at 197 lbs.  His loss to #18 Sam Colbray of Iowa State, who Foster tore into like a raccoon into a trash bin on steak night at Bonanza with a 14-0 major decision is all the testimony I need.  I think he'll finish third and Stewart fourth, but I don't see him beating Foster or Parker in route to the finals.



After Parker, Foster, Wilcke, and Stewart the weight class really slips off.  It's really hard to predict who will be the other four place-winners in the bracket.  I think it's fair to think that Brown's Christian LaFragola has a decent shot. He was an NCAA qualifier last season and he's had a handful of impressive wins in his career.

I may be grasping for straws but I would also like to think in relevance to a weaker bracket that Anthony Mancini could help bring some attention to the Franklin and Marshall wrestling program.  A Division III school with a Division I wrestling program. About as tough as your gonna get academic standards and no scholarship money to help out. It'd be awesome to see Mancini have a breakout tournament and give the Diplomats their third ever place-winner in this history of the tournament. 

197 lbs


It's amazing considering that Princeton has never had a Midland's champion before, that they have a legitimate shot at crowning two at this year's tournament. #3 Patrick Brucki who placed fifth at last year's championships, should receive the #1 seed.  Challenging him will be #4 Jacob Warner, of Iowa whom he beat for that fifth place medal last season 4-2.  It's the rise of a program destined for greatness vs a tradition of both individual and team champions in what is arguably amateur wrestling's most storied program.  It should for many reasons be a great match.



As to the consolation finals, on paper it looks like Army's #7 Rocco Caywood and Warner's backup Mitch Bowman of Iowa should pretty much have their way with the rest of the field. This is our most likely match for third place.


I think it's fair to think that NCAA qualifier Tom Lane of Cal Poly will be somewhere on the award stand come ceremony time.  He failed to place at CKLV, but that was a much tougher bracket than what this will be. He should place here.

As to Andre Lee of Illinois, again I am eluding to the fact that once you get past the top four, fifth, sixth, seventh, and eighth places are up for grabs.  Am I really stretching here thinking that Lee could possibly find his way onto the award stand?  I don't know.  In his entire career he's never had over 11 wins in one season.  He's already 11-4 this year.  One more win, which he should at least do that  and his senior year is his best year yet. Be awesome to add a Midland's medal to that career milestone. 

HWT

All eyes will be on returning Midland's Champion, #1 Sam Stoll of Iowa.  Yet, I think the road to the title may be a bit bumpier than expected.  For one, I think Tanner Hall who is currently redshirting at Arizona State should be in the mix.  If there is a reason he won't be there, I haven't heard it.  Hall already proved that Minnesota's Gable Stevenson isn't invincible, taking him into overtime at this year's Bison Open at North Dakota State.  The two have had some classic battles in the course of their careers. No doubt about it, we could see yet another one. 
Maryland's Youssif Hemida could pose a possible threat. It's a bit more of a stretch considering that he's 0-3 verses Stoll but stranger things have happened in collegiate wrestling. He has yet to compete this year. 
As for Campbell's Jere Heino, who also has yet to compete this year, he can be quite dangerous when he wants to be as well. He knocked Hall who placed third at the 2017 NCAA's out of the 2018 NCAA's last season.  He's big, strong and tough to score on. 
Isn't it amazing how between the four best wrestlers at HWT, two have yet to wrestle this season and the other two have three matches between them?  Makes one wonder if perhaps we'll see the biggest upset of the tournament at HWT, due to conditioning alone. 
Throwing it out there right now, Sam Stoll = Gorriaran Award Winner




I've been a college wrestling fan since 1991. An Iowa Hawkeye wrestling fan since 1991.  Lived in Iowa my whole life. Lived in Iowa City from August of 2009 until April of 2013.  One thing has never changed. Iowa fans love hype, love to brag and love to act like their recruits are the best thing ever.  Sometimes they're right.  Spencer Lee was going to be the best thing ever, and so far, yes he has been! Barring injury, I don't see him getting beat.  Other times the hype is nothing but smoke and mirrors. Chad Beatty was supposed to come in be a world beater and Eric Luedke had no problem putting him in his place.  So how about Tony Cassioppi? Just how good is he really? 
He's 11-0 right now, with 10 falls, 9 of which have been in the first period.  An impressive statistic no matter how you slice it but let's be real for a second. Who has he faced? No one notable by Division I standards. It's time to put up or shut up, and we'll get a real glimpse at just how good he is or isn't at this year's Midlands.  Some are making some great claims. Claims like he's better than Stoll or that he'll be Stevenson's first loss.  Well, we'll see....







As to the other place-winners at HWT, it'll be a war.  Leading the way is #8 Trent Hillger of Wisconsin who is having himself an impressive freshman season.

 Buffalo's #12 Jake Gunning is having himself his best season yet, and he should improve upon or at least match his eighth place showing last season.

Another impressive freshman is Army's Ben Sullivan currently 12-4. All of his losses have been very close including taking Gunning into overtime and a 3-1 decision to Hillger.

Central Michigan's Matt Stencel and Fresno State's A.J. Nevills might as well hold up a mirror to one another. Both were NCAA qualifiers last season and both were round of twelve at this year's CKLV.  Both are also hungry, as most HWTs should be for a Midland's medal.

Carter Isley of Northern Iowa, for what it is worth was also one match shy of a medal at CKLV.

Conan Jennings who has been ranked by intermat in past years, has yet to crack their top twenty this season.  He placed sixth at last years championships.  Another similar showing should see him back in the rankings.


FINAL THOUGHTS I think Iowa wins this tournament.  If they were allowed to count everyone's points and not have to deal with "unattached" I'd say I know for a fact that Iowa wins this tournament.  Lee, Desanto, Murin, Lugo, Marinelli, Wilcke, Warner and Stoll.  That's eight place winners, four potential champs right there.  I don't see anyone even coming close.

Hope I'm right on Princeton.  Hope they get at least one champ out of Kolodzik or Brucki.  I love seeing milestones met in wrestling. Nothing like watching history as it happens.

Hope to be right on Campbell too. In all seriousness, yes, I do see as many as six camels (albeit some will be unattached) walking out of the tournament with medals. A great testimony of what can be done with a program when the school sets their mind and their resources towards building success. I'd love to see something similar happen at some of the other programs who are currently struggling.

Well that's my thoughts on this year's Midlands.  As right or wrong as they may be.